College Football Playoff Rankings prediction: Alabama, Michigan, Georgia, Cincinnati lead final top 25 poll

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This has been one of the most volatile seasons in the brief history of the College Football Playoff Rankings. Championship Week did not disappoint as four of the eight conference championship games involving at least one ranked team saw a lower-rated team win.

That means there is some churning ahead the final CFP Rankings, which will be released Sunday afternoon, even though many teams did not play this week. 

As a reminder, here is the criteria that CFP Selection Committee members consider when building the rankings each week:

Strength of scheduleConference championships (once decided)Head-to-headResults vs. common opponentsResults vs. ranked opponents

The committee’s definition of “ranked opponents” is different than what you’re used to seeing as they use the prior week’s CFP Rankings. They do not consider where teams are ranked when the games were played either in the CFP, AP Top 25, etc. Using game-time rankings is the most worthless way to determine “ranked opponents”. In fact, the committee specifically forbids the use of any poll that has a preseason starting point.

There are also criteria that are not specifically listed and will likely never be said out loud by anyone. Those include things like margin of victory. Teams cannot always control their strength of schedule, but they can take strides to make up for a weak one by dominating the opponents they do face.

Also, when it comes to game control, the cat is no longer in the bag. Despite telling me at a mock selection meeting in…

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